Back to form and back to black in 2020?
As the world’s press gathered in Paris, Renault launched their 2020 season with the biggest anti-climax since Ferrari’s 2019 season. Do Renault not understand we wait all Winter just to put up with the occasional tedious event so we can see a glimpse, a snippet, a morsel of a 2020 car? And what do we get? A CG render of a 2019 car with a… testing livery? What a let down. I mean I really don’t know what to say now! I mean surely you can pick up the structure of these pieces, start with a few rubbish jokes or metaphors, mostly slate the livery designers or the PR of a team, say how I could obviously do a better job with no qualifications relating to those fields, before coming to a convoluted prediction for the season which ends up being wronger than a sultana in a salad. But I’ll do my best with this and see where this stream of consciousness takes me.
I was very worried for Renault just after the ‘launch’, especially when they said they did the launch without completing the real car. I thought we could’ve seen a beta version of what Williams did the season just gone. For a manufacturer team, with major backing and with the employment of a Mr Daniel Ricciardo, having that sort of season would be a disaster and that’s an understatement. But nevertheless those fears were soon quashed when in the next few days pictures appeared of the Barcelona shakedown, albeit not in the best of quality. Season back on.
And then the very next week we see Renault turn up with a nose 2.0. The R.S 20 nose job. In a testing week that started with mundane R&D updates, the nose of the Renault certainly caught the eye of many, before the innovation that must not be named stole the limelight like the drunk uncle at a wedding. Will it work? We’ll wait and see. Looks like we’re getting a three-way scrap for fourth place this year, and you would’ve thought you wouldn’t get a Renault on the back foot two years running. One thing’s for sure though, that five year plan for Renault’s path to the top is looking precarious. It would take a lot for consistent, legitimate podiums this year, but that’s just the nature of the beast in Formula 1 in its current guise. In hindsight, it always was going to be a tall ask, but to be fair, if Renault had the season they should’ve last season then maybe the five year plan has sort of worked. But if they’ve closed the gap to the front and are competitive with the top of the midfield then it’s been a bit of a success and perhaps delay the five year plan to a seven year plan. It shouldn’t be out of the question, bearing in mind the 2021 rules to come, and the budget cap coming into play, which hopefully compresses the field further.
Ocon v Ricciardo is already a done deal in many people’s minds but I reckon it could be quite an interesting battle. Ricciardo’s contract is up at the end of the season, so will he be looking to sell himself with plenty of contracts expiring this season, including 3 realistically available seats at the top opening up. It would be a shock if Hamilton and Bottas didn’t re-sign for Mercedes, but there are very strong question marks over Vettel’s future. Plus Ricciardo’s gamble for Renault hasn’t paid off either, yes he disposed of Hulkenberg, but the car didn’t look like giving him race wins any time soon let alone a championship. While it made sense to jump ship from Red Bull at the time he did, the longer his Renault stint goes on, the more it looks like a stop gap career move. Daniel needs to keep his stock high this year regardless of Renault performance. He could still return to a top seat, but needs to show he’s worthy. For example, unless there’s fireworks, or one of them falls off the pace, you can’t see either McLaren driver jumping ship, despite thoughts Ferrari would go in for them if Vettel left, it is difficult to turn down the Scuderia, mind. Again, it all depends on who pulls the trigger first.
If Ocon has a really good season though, it would be interesting to see how tight the elastic is back to Mercedes, if it exists at all. If Bottas is let go, would Vandoorne upstage him? If Stoffel wins the Formula E championship, and impresses on the simulator might he get the call? He is regarded highly, after all. It’s easy to forget George Russell too, but I’m getting ahead of myself. Talk of this only really continues if Ocon hits the ground running at Renault and gets a few early jabs in against Ricciardo. This time there must be no excuses. The team dynamics no longer work against him, as you could’ve argued at his time with Force India. French driver in a French team must also help him too. He still has the potential, does Ocon, but he ran the risk of being forgotten last season, and is in danger of becoming the new Hulkenberg as it were. High potential needs big results eventually. He certainly has the pace to upstage the Australian this season, and I for one, hope he does.
